S&P 500 HITS RECORD HIGH!

July 12, 2016

And just like that, we have new record highs on the S&P 500!

S&P 500 Weekly:
160712_sp500_weekly
Click on chart to see a larger view.

This really is the mother of all bull markets in stocks, and indices traders on the Vantage FX book who keep buying the dip are loving life.

S&P 500 15 Minute:
160712_sp500_15minute
Click on chart to see a larger view.

The intra-day chart shows just well the price action respected the technicals on the breakout.

Test highs > Breakout > Re-test previous resistance as support > Daily close above resistance.

…But the top is in now, right? It’s time to start to fade it?

sp500sentiment

Well that’s what Vantage FX traders are saying at least (scroll down to the client sentiment section on the vantagefx.com homepage), with 92% of traders on our book now short the index!

But how many times are we going to fall into that trap? As we just said, this is the mother of all bull markets so why are we all so keen to fight the tide?

I’ve been just as guilty of trying to fight the trend myself. Looking back through this blog, we have this major trend line support across indices post from back in January where I was trying to position shorts for an early breakout to the downside.

The risk:reward was there, but in hindsight the setup wasn’t in the direction of the most risk. The biggest directional trading concept that I like to talk about over and over.

Now we’re back at the top of this range that’s in question and trader’s human nature is telling us to fade the edge of the range and short here at resistance.

Once again, if the risk:reward is there and it meets your own set of rules to enter a trade, then I’m not going to tell you to sit on your hands. But just remember that there is no such thing as overbought in a bull market.

Tired of your Forex Broker under delivering? Switch today and bolster your Vantage FX MT4 platform with our Smart Trader Tools package!

Dane Williams – @VantageFX

Risk Disclosure: In addition to the website disclaimer below, the material on this page prepared by Forex broker Vantage FX Pty Ltd does not contain a record of our prices, best spreads or solicitation to trade. All opinions, news, research, tools, prices or other information is provided as general market commentary and marketing communication – not as investment advice. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The experts writers express their personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the Forex account of the reader. We always aim for maximum accuracy and timeliness, and FX broker Vantage FX shall not be liable for any loss or damage, consequential or otherwise, which may arise from the use or reliance on this service and its content, inaccurate information or typos. No representation is being made that any results discussed within the report will be achieved, and past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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