EUR/GBP – The Channel

September 2, 2015

Inside Monday’s Daily Market Update, we featured EUR/GBP as our Chart of the Day. As we’ve progressed further into the week, price action has thrown a spanner in the works which we’ll go through below.

EUR/GBP Weekly:
eg4
Click on chart to see a larger view.

Price has been trading inside a large weekly channel dating back to 2008. However, over the last few months, price has started to bottom out, seeing a short term 400 pip range form between 0.7388 and 0.6988.

This range has been significant for the force that price has been rejected with, as well as the fact that price has been unable to print a higher high after each attempt.

EUR/GBP Daily:
eg3
Click on chart to see a larger view.

Zooming into the daily chart, we have marked the clean highs that price spiked through to clear out any lingering stops before being unceremoniously slapped back down to give us the weekly close we have marked on the previous chart.

Last week’s gravestone doji (well as close as you’re going to get in reality on a weekly chart) is one to keep an eye on as it has formed right on the top of this daily range. But with 3 days yet to go in the current weekly candle, price has already shot back up to test its high.

That’s not what the textbook says!

In trading this setup, I see the path of least resistance still being to play EUR/GBP from the short side. You will be following the overall trend and price is still at the top of the short term range. Keep an eye out for bearish price action to end the week, possibly printing another long wick at resistance to confirm control for the bears. Follow @VantageFX on Twitter as we look for an entry heading into the weekend.

What are your thoughts on the direction of EUR/GBP from here? Trade on a Vantage FX STP Forex Account.
Dane Williams – @VantageFX

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