Tremoring Tuesday

February 9, 2016

Tremoring Tuesday:
Here we were thinking that with China on holidays all week and a relatively light calendar in terms of event risk that could cause a major repricing in the market, that we’d be able to cruise through the week without any dramas. Ha!

But just how dire are things looking? Surely not as dire as our friends over at CNBC are reporting?

We know that @StockCats loves a daily dose of market doom and gloom so I couldn’t go past including his Tweet in this morning’s blog. Sums up my thoughts exactly. Don’t get sucked into the gloom of a daily sensationalist news cycle when it comes to markets! It was just a down day.

With traders looking for the ‘safety’ of Gold (the answer to yesterday’s XAU/USD chart of the day question was a very solid no) and Bonds, those assets fared very well indeed. Gold lows seem a distant memory, while bond yields (inverse to price) hit their lowest in 12 months in the US T-Note and German Bund.

I’m not in the office until later this afternoon so only a small overview. We’ll go through some more charts on the @VantageFX Twitter later.

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Chart of the Day:
A follow on to yesterday’s XAU/USD chart of the day with a high level look showing what we spoke about above.

XAU/USD Daily:
golddaily
Click on chart to see a larger view.

With price almost not having a single down day since December, price is up around $150 off its lows.

Like yesterday, my trading style would normally be to look for levels to start fading around, but that is just not a smart thing to do in these sorts of market conditions. Trading is about being adaptable and for me, that means identifying momentum and not letting myself jump out in front of the moving train that is price.

———

On the Calendar Tuesday:
CNY Bank Holiday
AUD NAB Business Confidence

GBP Trade Balance

USD JOLTS Job Openings

Expecting another fairly quiet news day with China on holiday all week for Lunar New Year celebrations and the rest of the data on the calendar today second tier.

Do you see opportunity trading commodities? Take advantage on your free $50,000 Forex demo account.

Dane Williams – @VantageFX

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