Pips in the Kiwi as RBNZ Cuts Rates

August 11, 2016

Image: Geof Wilson, Flikr (cc)

NZD Official Cash Rate: Cut 0.25% to 2.00% as expected.

There you have it. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand as expected this morning, cut the official cash rate by 0.25% to 2.00%.

Here are some key quotes extracted from from RBNZ Governer Graeme Wheeler’s statement following the decision:

“Global growth is below trend despite being supported by unprecedented levels of monetary stimulus.”


“Monetary policy will continue to be accommodative.”


“A decline in the exchange rate is needed.”

You know what they say about doing the same thing over and over while expecting a different result?

Anyway, I guess central banks are starting to express how hopeless they feel in today’s low interest, highly politicised climate. This is one theme that doesn’t get enough of a run in financial media, and possibly the start of some sort of mini revolution in forcing fiscal policy support. But that’s one for another day!

Back on track and taking a look at the decision from a Forex trader‘s perspective and you would have noticed that across the Vantage FX blog and social media accounts, we’ve been watching how technical NZD/USD has been moving.

Following price bouncing out out of the higher time frame support zone, we were watching the intra-day levels for an entry to get long. With price never getting below the previous swing low, there were ample opportunities to take a long entry with a reasonably tight stop.

NZD/USD Hourly:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

And following the RBNZ rally on a 0.25% rate cut (the new normal it would seem), longs got an extra potential +170 pips on the spike.

NZD/USD Daily:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

On the daily chart, price has now hit the previous swing high, and if you tick your chart back to the left, is also some past support/resistance worth taking notice of.

But with price still a long way off the top of that bullish channel, there’s still some serious room to the upside.

Hope you found some pips in the Kiwi!


On the Calendar Thursday:
JPY Bank Holiday
NZD RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks

USD Unemployment Claims

Make the switch to a live Forex trading account with Vantage FX today.

Dane Williams – @VantageFX

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