Oil at Higher Time Frame Resistance

October 11, 2016

This time it has to be different, right?

With key OPEC nations reaching a deal to limit the production output of Oil to help support prices, we overnight saw the yearly high smashed.

No matter the boy that cried wolf implications, deals keep being reported because it really is a never ending battle between key Oil producers, with nobody wanting to give the upper hand to a business and political rival even if it means taking a hit themselves.

The crazy inner politics of a monopolistic cartel, right!

Anyway, it was the addition of Russia to OPEC’s market price stabilisation efforts that saw price take out those yearly highs and put some real technical pressure on the chart.

OIL Daily:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

Price has continued to rally hard for the last couple of months and finally reached channel resistance overnight.

As you can see on the daily, price has given the level a little kiss.

OIL Hourly:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

Zooming into the hourly and taking a look at the chart from a day trading perspective, that higher time frame resistance level is the key. If the level holds, then in the same way that we marked yesterday’s Euro’s post bounce price action, we’ll be looking for the same sort of setups but from the short side here in Oil.

If you were to read some of the headlines doing the rounds this morning you’d see that THIS TIME THE OIL DEAL DIFFERENT and price will carry onto the moon!


…Probably not.

…Who cares, trade the scenario that plays out.


On the Calendar Tuesday:
JPY Current Account
AUD NAB Business Confidence

EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment

Just be aware that each of today’s highlighted calendar releases are second tier. With the US still coming back to their desks following yesterday’s Columbus Day holiday, expect holiday trading conditions to continue throughout Asia and probably into London.

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Dane Williams – @VantageFX

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