AUD Employment Error. Crazy Price Action | Vantage FX

AUD Employment Error. Crazy Price Action

April 15, 2016

AUD Employment Error. Crazy Price Action:
The Aussie Dollar once again made a new overnight high, poking it’s head through the resistance zone we’ve been watching before easing a little bit to end the session.

It’s been a good week for AUD sensitive data, with strong NAB Business Confidence data Tuesday, a market positive Chinese Trade Balance Wednesday and yesterday’s Employment data beat all helping the Aussie reach for the stars.

But something out of yesterday that I haven’t seen talked about was the error in reporting the release and the insane price action that followed!

You can see from the above price action GIF immediately after the release, the Aussie liked what it immediately saw and spiked up hard and fast. The +26,000 jobs added was a better than expected print so this wasn’t really out of the ordinary.

But then price fell hard and actually dropped to below the pre-release level… Wait what?!


It turns out that the Reuters feed that some brokers and news services used to report the number actually printed it as +260,000 rather than +26,000!

AUSD/USD 15 Minute:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

So as you can see from the above, marked 15 minute AUD/USD chart, price spiked up on the initial print, soon realised that there is a serious error in some of the reporting so spiked back down equally as hard, before finally coming to the conclusion that the +26,000 print in this bullish AUD climate is actually pretty damn good and pushed onto new highs.

The algos eat this sort of stuff for breakfast. Crazy turn of events!

Today’s economic calendar is highlighted by tier one Chinese GDP and Industrial Production. Any sort of beat is expected to push the Aussie dollar through the AUD/USD Daily support/resistance zone, but will still likely be capped here.

Click on chart to see a larger view.


Chart of the Day:
Moving forward and yesterday’s Bank of England decision failed to surprise, with a unanimous 9-0 vote to keep interest rates on hold as expected.

The minutes were however on the dovish side, with central bank officials most concerned about the risks to economic growth that the Brexit referendum is likely to have on subsequent data releases.

“Sterling has depreciated further over the past month. Risk-free interest rates in the United Kingdom and elsewhere have also declined. Together with rises in the prices of many risky assets, these movements should support economic activity. That said, the likelihood that much of the fall in sterling reflects uncertainty surrounding the forthcoming referendum on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union raises questions regarding whether the lower level of sterling will persist and its net economic impact.”

GBP/AUD Daily:
Click on chart to see a larger view.

GBP/AUD is back at an interesting level which we’ve seen a reaction off in the past. That momentum is pretty damn obvious though so blindly buy support at your own peril.

As always, let us know what you’re watching or trading by mentioning @VantageFX on Twitter. It’s Friday, come and join the conversation!


On the Calendar Friday:
AUD RBA Financial Stability Review
CNY Industrial Production y/y

CNY Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y
CNY NBS Press Conference

CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m
USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

Do you see opportunity trading Forex with Vantage FX? Take advantage on your own instant $50,000 Forex demo.

Dane Williams – @VantageFX

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