Markets Flat As Investors Wait For News On The Debt Ceiling | July 29, 2011

USDCHF

USDCHF trades at record lows

The Australian equity market is pointed to a slightly weaker open today after the Dow finished 62 points lower 12240.11, the blue-chip measure’s fifth straight loss. The S&P500 index shed 4.22 points to close at 1300.67 as lawmakers indicated they were no closer to reaching an agreement to the increase of the debt ceiling and avoiding default.

The stalling of the U.S. debt-ceiling debates has convinced many investors that the government is on track to lose its triple-A credit rating. Attention on the subject intensified late Thursday as House Republican leaders aimed for an evening vote on their latest proposal to cut spending and increase the borrowing limit. The action follows weeks of squabbling between the White House and Congress.

The AUDUSD traded down from highs of 1.1076 overnight to as low as 1.0977, traders seem to be sitting on the fence awaiting for the House of Representatives  vote later on Friday.

The USDCHF (see above chart) dropped to a record for the fourth straight day trading down as low as 0.7990 as the US house of representatives headed towards a showdown. At time of writing this report the USDCHF has bounced slightly to sit at 0.8014.

WTI crude had a unexciting evening finishing the US session at 97.44 after US jobless claims dropped to the lowest level in almost four months, this signals that the fuel consumption may increase as the weakness in the jobs markets lightens.

Source Bloomberg, Dow Jones News

INDICES

Last Traded

SPI 200 future

4427

S&P500 Index

1300.67

Dow Jones Indus. Avg

12240.11

FTSE 100 Index

5873.21

COMMODITIES

Last Traded

Gold

1615.65

Oil (Nymex)

97.13

CURRENCIES

Last Traded

AUDUSD

1.0999

EURUSD

1.4325

GBPUSD

1.6360

USDJPY

77.77

Markets Weak As Investors Uncertain If US Can Hold Onto AAA Rating | July 26, 2011

USDCHF

The USDCHF traded as low at 0.8022 overnight which is now a record as investors demand the safest assets

The Australian equity market is pointed to a higher open today after the US markets recovered from the initial drop pre trade Monday. Overnight the US stocks ended the session down after the deadlock in Washington’s debt negotiations curbed investors’ risk appetite and left them uncertain whether the U.S. can hold on to its triple-A credit rating.

The Dow lost 88.36 points to close at 12592.80, this is its third drop in four sessions. The blue-chip index fell by as much as 145 points early in the session, after the collapse of the debt-ceiling talks triggered a flight to safer assets such as gold, which settled at a record $1,612 an ounce. Stocks recovered some ground as Republicans and Democrats each pledged separate efforts to raise the debt ceiling. The S&P500 index shed 7.59 points to close at 1337.43.

The USDCHF traded as low at 0.8022 overnight which is now a record as investors demand the safest assets while dropping the USD and EUR on the back of lawmakers failing to agree on raising the nations $14.3 trillion debt and Greece’s credit rating cut. At time of writing this report it was sitting at 0.8054.

The NZDUSD dropped to a low of 0.8613 in early Asian trade after a government report showed exports shrank more than economists had estimated.

Gold traded as high as 1624 per ounce as investors demand the metal as a haven investment. Gold is now up 13 percent this year and heading for the 11th straight annual gain.

INDICES
  Last Traded
SPI 200

4535

S&P500 Index

1337.43

Dow Jones Indus. Avg

12592.80

FTSE 100 Index

5925.26

COMMODITIES
  Last Traded
Gold

1613.95

Oil (Nymex)

99.14

CURRENCIES

Last Traded

AUDUSD

1.0849

EURUSD

1.4372

GBPUSD

1.6280

USDJPY

78.30

Source Bloomberg, Dow Jones News

US Futures Drop 1% On Credit Ratings Fears | July 25, 2011

SP500

S&P500 edged up 1.22 points to close at 1345.02.

The Australian equity market is pointed to a lower open for the start of the week as the US failed to raise the federal debt limit which has intensified concerns of a default.  House speaker John Boehner told the Republicans that there is no agreement on a plan for raising the ceiling before a default threatened for August 2 although discussions are continuing. Analysts are stating that there is now a 50 percent chance that the S&P will cut the US credit rating from AAA within three months.

On Friday the Dow fell 43.25 points to finish the session at 12681 while the S&P500  edged up 1.22 points to close at 1345.02.

Initial euphoria over Europe’s solution to Greece’s debt crisis wore off Friday, sending the Euro lower against major currencies as markets questioned whether the fundamental outlook for troubled euro-zone countries had really changed. The EURUSD traded down from overnight highs of 1.4437 to lows of 1.4325, at time of writing this report it was sitting at 1.4371.

The AUDUSD is currently sitting on its session lows of 1.0820 after trading as high as 1.0865 in early morning trade.

Gold surged to record highs on the back of the ongoing issues in the US , trading up from Friday night lows of 1583 to tip as high as 1624.

INDICES
  Last Traded
SPI 200

4589

S&P500 Index

1345

Dow Jones Indus. Avg

12518

FTSE 100 Index

5935

COMMODITIES
  Last Traded
Gold

1617

Oil (Nymex)

99.23

CURRENCIES
 

Last Traded

AUDUSD

1.0821

EURUSD

1.4373

GBPUSD

1.6298

USDJPY

78.40

Source Bloomberg, Dow Jones News

Moody Puts US On Notice And Bernanke Plans More Stimulus | July 14, 2011

EURUSD

The EURUSD has had a strong session overnight trading from lows of 1.4037 to a high of 1.4240

The Australian equities are pointed for a mixed open this morning after the US stocks snapped a three-day slide and finished slightly higher as investors saw hope for further economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve.

The Dow, initially strong in early trade evaporated most of it gains in the afternoon but still finished up 44 points to settle at 12491. The S&P500 climbed 4.08 points to 1317.72.

The EURUSD (see above chart) has had a strong session overnight trading from lows of 1.4037 to a high of 1.4240 late in trade after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said another round of quantitative easing will more than likely be needed, should the US economy remain weak as predicted. Earlier in the session the Euro gained against most pairs on news that Fitch Ratings expects Italy to successfully implement a deficit-reduction plan.

Moody’s Investors Service warned after the US equity close that it had put its Aaa rating on the U.S. government’s bond rating on watch for possible downgrade, citing the “rising possibility that the statutory debt limit will not be raised on a timely basis,” which would lead to a default on U.S. Treasury debt obligations.

The NZDUSD has hit a 30 year high to tip above the 0.8500 level in the early Asian session while the AUDUSD briefly traded above the 1.08 mark after trading up from an overnight low of 1.0663.

WTI crude oil climbed to a high of 99.24 after the Energy department showed inventories fell more the expected last week only to drop off to settle at 98.05 after the Moody’s announcement.

INDICES
  Last Traded
SPI 200

4485

S&P500 Index

1316

Dow Jones Indus. Avg

12491

FTSE 100 Index

5906

COMMODITIES
  Last Traded
Gold

1584.90

Oil (Nymex)

98.01

CURRENCIES
 

Last Traded

AUDUSD

1.0776

EURUSD

1.4249

GBPUSD

1.6175

USDJPY

78.82

US Sovereign Outlook Rattles Markets | April 19, 2011

GBPUSD

Pound Sterling reacted to US and European sovereign debt worries

Good morning. Equity markets reacted to debt worries on Monday, with the major indices experiencing heavy selling pressure. Ratings Agency Standard and Poor announced that they had placed the US on a negative watch in light of recent economic developments and a growing budget deficit. The US still holds a AAA sovereign rating. Energy commodities tracked the equity markets, with Oil futures contracting 2% to close at $107.43. Safe haven Gold bucked the trend and supported precious metal prices.  In Europe, economists speculated over the impending emergency bailout extension, which would assist in lowering debt refinancing costs in Greece and Ireland. Critics to the fund, have highlighted the possibility for a significant increase in fiscal costs and a lack of qualified austerity measures. Finland has been a vocal critic to the measures. In Asia, Chinese officials announced the tightening of bank reserve requirements. This had a positive effect on the local markets, with traders previously factoring in the possibility of a raising of interest rates. The measure is expected to slow growth and force inflation lower.

On the equity market front, the S&P500 closed the session 1.1% lower. Technology company Texas Instruments reported a solid profit for the quarter, with the company forecasting stronger growth patterns over the next 12 months. Google announced that it had invested in an alternative project based in Oregon. The $100 million purchase, adds to the current portfolio of green energy assets.

On the currency front, The Euro reacted to debt concerns, with the currency falling to 1.4223. With ratings agency S&P reducing the long term outlook for the US, the market was uncertain over the potential debt refinancing in Greece, Portugal and Ireland. Economists were also uncomfortable with the potential for a contagion effect. Speculation that the ECB could raise rates in the coming months had little supportive effect during the day session. Tracking other risk and European based currencies, Pound Sterling contracted during the session. Falling against the US dollar, the market was cautious on the high yield, high risk currencies. Continued debt concerns and the potential for refinancing in the region led to spike in volatility and volume during the lunchtime session. Key housing data released in the US this week, will also impact the movements in the base currency.  The Japanese Yen strengthened against the greenback on Monday with traders flooding towards safe haven currencies – the yen and franc. Trading at 82.37, the USDJPY was driven lower by repatriation of yen in light of recent disasters. Insurers continue to reinvest in the local currency to cover their financial obligations. The debt downgrade in the US also compounded movements during the session, with fears that the European debt crisis could be spreading to the rest of the World.